An Automatic Ockham’s Razor for Bayesians?

Erkenntnis 84 (6):1361-1367 (2019)
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Abstract

It is sometimes claimed that the Bayesian framework automatically implements Ockham’s razor—that conditionalizing on data consistent with both a simple theory and a complex theory more or less inevitably favours the simpler theory. It is shown here that the automatic razor doesn’t in fact cut it for certain mundane curve-fitting problems.

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Gordon Belot
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

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