The Causal Decision Theorist's Guide to Managing the News

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Abstract
Causal decision theorists say that the good news an act carries about factors outside of your control does not speak in favor of performing that act. But, by providing information about factors outside of your control, an act can tell you two, importantly different, kinds of things. It can tell you that the world in which you find yourself is good; but so too can it tell you that the act itself is in a position to improve things. While the first kind of news does not speak in favor of an act, the second kind of news does. I present a revision of causal decision theory which advises you to manage the news about the good you stand to promote, while ignoring news about the good the world has provided for you. The resulting theory deals with objections to causal decision theory from Hunter & Richter (1978), Ahmed (2014), and Spencer & Wells (2017).
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First archival date: 2018-05-31
Latest version: 3 (2018-10-20)
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2018-05-31

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