How to predict future duration from present age

Philosophical Quarterly 56 (222):16-38 (2006)
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Abstract

The physicist J. Richard Gott has given an argument which, if good, allows one to make accurate predictions for the future longevity of a process, based solely on its present age. We show that there are problems with some of the details of Gott's argument, but we defend the core thesis: in many circumstances, the greater the present age of a process, the more likely a longer future duration

Author Profiles

Bradley Monton
Wuhan University
Brian Kierland
Boise State University

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