On the Accuracy of Group Credences

Download Edit this record How to cite View on PhilPapers
Abstract
to appear in Szabó Gendler, T. & J. Hawthorne (eds.) Oxford Studies in Epistemology volume 6 We often ask for the opinion of a group of individuals. How strongly does the scientific community believe that the rate at which sea levels are rising increased over the last 200 years? How likely does the UK Treasury think it is that there will be a recession if the country leaves the European Union? What are these group credences that such questions request? And how do they relate to the individual credences assigned by the members of the particular group in question? According to the credal judgment aggregation principle, Linear Pooling, the credence function of a group should be a weighted average or linear pool of the credence functions of the individuals in the group. In this paper, I give an argument for Linear Pooling based on considerations of accuracy. And I respond to two standard objections to the aggregation principle.
PhilPapers/Archive ID
PETOTA-3
Revision history
Archival date: 2017-11-28
View upload history
References found in this work BETA

View all 24 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

Add more citations

Added to PP index
2017-11-28

Total views
174 ( #18,394 of 42,425 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
93 ( #5,411 of 42,425 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks to external links.