A Puzzle about Knowing Conditionals

Noûs 52 (2):473-478 (2018)
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We present a puzzle about knowledge, probability and conditionals. We show that in certain cases some basic and plausible principles governing our reasoning come into conflict. In particular, we show that there is a simple argument that a person may be in a position to know a conditional the consequent of which has a low probability conditional on its antecedent, contra Adams’ Thesis. We suggest that the puzzle motivates a very strong restriction on the inference of a conditional from a disjunction.
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First archival date: 2016-08-15
Latest version: 2 (2016-08-16)
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References found in this work BETA
Knowledge and Its Limits.Williamson, Timothy
Knowledge and its Limits.Williamson, Timothy

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Embedded Attitudes.Blumberg, Kyle & Holguín, Ben
At the Threshold of Knowledge.Rothschild, Daniel & Spectre, Levi

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