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Probabilistic Reasoning in Cosmology

Dissertation, The University of Western Ontario (2015)

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  1. Eternal inflation: when probabilities fail.John D. Norton - 2018 - Synthese 198 (Suppl 16):3853-3875.
    In eternally inflating cosmology, infinitely many pocket universes are seeded. Attempts to show that universes like our observable universe are probable amongst them have failed, since no unique probability measure is recoverable. This lack of definite probabilities is taken to reveal a complete predictive failure. Inductive inference over the pocket universes, it would seem, is impossible. I argue that this conclusion of impossibility mistakes the nature of the problem. It confuses the case in which no inductive inference is possible, with (...)
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