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  1. Probability judgments under ambiguity and conflict.Michael Smithson - 2015 - Frontiers in Psychology 6.
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  • Framing From Experience: Cognitive Processes and Predictions of Risky Choice.Cleotilde Gonzalez & Katja Mehlhorn - 2016 - Cognitive Science 40 (5):1163-1191.
    A framing bias shows risk aversion in problems framed as “gains” and risk seeking in problems framed as “losses,” even when these are objectively equivalent and probabilities and outcomes values are explicitly provided. We test this framing bias in situations where decision makers rely on their own experience, sampling the problem's options and seeing the outcomes before making a choice. In Experiment 1, we replicate the framing bias in description-based decisions and find risk indifference in gains and losses in experience-based (...)
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  • Individual vs. group decision-making: an experiment on dynamic choice under risk and ambiguity.Enrica Carbone, Konstantinos Georgalos & Gerardo Infante - 2019 - Theory and Decision 87 (1):87-122.
    This paper focuses on the comparison of individual and group decision-making, in a stochastic inter-temporal problem in two decision environments, namely risk and ambiguity. Using a consumption/saving laboratory experiment, we investigate behaviour in four treatments: individual choice under risk; group choice under risk; individual choice under ambiguity and group choice under ambiguity. Comparing decisions within and between decision environments, we find an anti-symmetric pattern. While individuals are choosing on average closer to the theoretical optimal predictions, compared to groups in the (...)
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  • A description–experience gap in statistical intuitions: Of smart babies, risk-savvy chimps, intuitive statisticians, and stupid grown-ups.Christin Schulze & Ralph Hertwig - 2021 - Cognition 210 (C):104580.
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