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  1. Causality, propensity, and bayesian networks.Donald Gillies - 2002 - Synthese 132 (1-2):63 - 88.
    This paper investigates the relations between causality and propensity. Aparticular version of the propensity theory of probability is introduced, and it is argued that propensities in this sense are not causes. Some conclusions regarding propensities can, however, be inferred from causal statements, but these hold only under restrictive conditions which prevent cause being defined in terms of propensity. The notion of a Bayesian propensity network is introduced, and the relations between such networks and causal networks is investigated. It is argued (...)
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  • (1 other version)Handling uncertainty in artificial intelligence, and the Bayesian controversy.Donald Gillies - 2004 - In Friedrich Stadler (ed.), Induction and Deduction in the Sciences. Dordrecht, Netherland: Springer. pp. 199.
    This paper is divided into two parts. In the first part , I will describe briefly how advances in artificial intelligence in the 1970s led to the crucial problem of handling uncertainty, and how attempts to solve this problem led in turn to the emergence of the new theory of Bayesian networks. I will try to focus in this historical account on the key ideas and will not give a full account of the technical details. Then, in the second part (...)
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