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  1. Good decision vs. good results: Outcome bias in the evaluation of financial agents.Christian König-Kersting, Monique Pollmann, Jan Potters & Stefan T. Trautmann - 2020 - Theory and Decision 90 (1):31-61.
    We document outcome bias in situations where an agent makes risky financial decisions for a principal. In three experiments, we show that the principal’s evaluations and financial rewards for the agent are strongly affected by the random outcome of the risky investment. This happens despite her exact knowledge of the investment strategy, which can, therefore, be assessed independently of the outcome. The principal thus judges the same decision by the agent differently, depending on factors that the agent has no influence (...)
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