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  1. The desirability bias in predictions under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty.Paul D. Windschitl, Jane E. Miller, Inkyung Park, Shanon Rule, Ashley Clary & Andrew R. Smith - 2022 - Cognition 229 (C):105254.
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  • Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers, and science.Anne Marthe van der Bles, Sander van der Linden, Alexandra L. J. Freeman, James Mitchell, Ana Beatriz Galvão, Lisa Zaval & David Spiegelhalter - 2019 - Royal Society Open Science 6 (5).
    Uncertainty is an inherent part of knowledge, and yet in an era of contested expertise, many shy away from openly communicating their uncertainty about what they know, fearful of their audience’s reaction. But what effect does communication of such epistemic uncertainty have? Empirical research is widely scattered across many disciplines. This interdisciplinary review structures and summarises current practice and research across domains, combining a statistical and psychological perspective. This informs a framework for uncertainty communication in which we identify three objects (...)
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