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The paradox of the Bayesian experts

In David Corfield & Jon Williamson (eds.), Foundations of Bayesianism. Kluwer Academic Publishers. pp. 309-338 (2001)

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  1. Meta-Inductive Probability Aggregation.Christian J. Feldbacher-Escamilla & Gerhard Schurz - 2023 - Theory and Decision 95 (4):663-689.
    There is a plurality of formal constraints for aggregating probabilities of a group of individuals. Different constraints characterise different families of aggregation rules. In this paper, we focus on the families of linear and geometric opinion pooling rules which consist in linear, respectively, geometric weighted averaging of the individuals’ probabilities. For these families, it is debated which weights exactly are to be chosen. By applying the results of the theory of meta-induction, we want to provide a general rationale, namely, optimality, (...)
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