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  1. The law of large numbers in children's diversity-based reasoning.Gedeon Deák, Hong Li, Yiyuan Li, Bihua Cao & Fuhong Li - 2009 - Thinking and Reasoning 15 (4):388-404.
    Adults increase the certainty of their inductive inferences by observing more diverse instances. However, most young children fail to do so. The present study tested the hypothesis that children's sensitivity to instance diversity is determined by three variables: ability to discriminate among instances ( Discrimination ); an intuition that large numbers of instances increase the strength of conclusion ( Monotonicity ); ability to detect subcategories and evaluate numerical differences between the subcategories, or Extraction . A total of 219 Chinese children (...)
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  • Testimony and observation of statistical evidence interact in adults' and children's category-based induction.Zoe Finiasz, Susan A. Gelman & Tamar Kushnir - 2024 - Cognition 244 (C):105707.
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  • Developmental Changes in Strategies for Gathering Evidence About Biological Kinds.Emily Foster-Hanson, Kelsey Moty, Amanda Cardarelli, John Daryl Ocampo & Marjorie Rhodes - 2020 - Cognitive Science 44 (5):e12837.
    How do people gather samples of evidence to learn about the world? Adults often prefer to sample evidence from diverse sources—for example, choosing to test a robin and a turkey to find out if something is true of birds in general. Children below age 9, however, often do not consider sample diversity, instead treating non‐diverse samples (e.g., two robins) and diverse samples as equivalently informative. The current study (N = 247) found that this discontinuity stems from developmental changes in standards (...)
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  • Generic Statements Require Little Evidence for Acceptance but Have Powerful Implications.Andrei Cimpian, Amanda C. Brandone & Susan A. Gelman - 2010 - Cognitive Science 34 (8):1452-1482.
    Generic statements (e.g., “Birds lay eggs”) express generalizations about categories. In this paper, we hypothesized that there is a paradoxical asymmetry at the core of generic meaning, such that these sentences have extremely strong implications but require little evidence to be judged true. Four experiments confirmed the hypothesized asymmetry: Participants interpreted novel generics such as “Lorches have purple feathers” as referring to nearly all lorches, but they judged the same novel generics to be true given a wide range of prevalence (...)
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  • The effects of information utility and teachers’ knowledge on evaluations of under-informative pedagogy across development.Ilona Bass, Elizabeth Bonawitz, Daniel Hawthorne-Madell, Wai Keen Vong, Noah D. Goodman & Hyowon Gweon - 2022 - Cognition 222 (C):104999.
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  • The Role of Within-Category Variability in Category-Based Induction: A Developmental Study.Marjorie Rhodes & Daniel Brickman - 2010 - Cognitive Science 34 (8):1561-1573.
    The present studies tested the hypothesis that strong assumptions about within-category homogeneity impede children’s recognition of the inductive value of diverse samples of evidence. In Study 1a, children (7-year-olds) and adults were randomly assigned to receive a prime emphasizing within-category variability, a prime emphasizing within-category similarities, or to not receive a prime. Only following the variability prime, children demonstrated a reliable preference for evaluating diverse over nondiverse samples to determine whether there is support for a category-wide generalization. Adults demonstrated a (...)
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