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  1. Is Model-Based Science a Kind of Historical Science?Joseph Wilson - 2024 - Perspectives on Science 32 (4):460-487.
    Philosophers have yet to provide a systematic analysis of the relationship between historical science and model-based science. In this paper I argue that prototypical model-based sciences exhibit features understood to be central to historical science. Philosophers of science have argued that historical scientists are distinctly concerned with inference to the best explanation, that explanations in historical science tend to increase in complexity over time, and that the explanations take the form of narratives. Using general circulation models in climate science as (...)
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  • Getting from here to there: The contingency of historical evidence and the value of speculation.Daniel G. Swaim - 2024 - Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 106 (C):118-125.
    Here I look to some work in the historical sciences in order to draw out some of the epistemic benefits of “speculative narratives,” which bears on some more general epistemic benefits of speculative reasoning. Due to the contingent nature of much historical evidence, some degree of speculative reasoning is necessary to get the epistemological ball rolling in the historical sciences, and I argue that speculative narratives provide the necessary sort of frameworking apparatus for doing precisely this. I use contemporary work (...)
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