Monty hall, doomsday and confirmation

Analysis 63 (1):23–31 (2003)
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Abstract

We give an analysis of the Monty Hall problem purely in terms of confirmation, without making any lottery assumptions about priors. Along the way, we show the Monty Hall problem is structurally identical to the Doomsday Argument.

Author Profiles

Branden Fitelson
Northeastern University
Darren Bradley
University of Leeds

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