Dilating and contracting arbitrarily

Noûs 56 (1):3-20 (2020)
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Standard accuracy-based approaches to imprecise credences have the consequence that it is rational to move between precise and imprecise credences arbitrarily, without gaining any new evidence. Building on the Educated Guessing Framework of Horowitz (2019), we develop an alternative accuracy-based approach to imprecise credences that does not have this shortcoming. We argue that it is always irrational to move from a precise state to an imprecise state arbitrarily, however it can be rational to move from an imprecise state to a precise state arbitrarily.

Author Profiles

David Builes
Princeton University
Sophie Horowitz
University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Miriam Schoenfield
University of Texas at Austin


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