Solving a Paradox of Evidential Equivalence

Mind 130 (520):1159–82 (2021)
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David Builes presents a paradox concerning how confident you should be that any given member of an infinite collection of fair coins landed heads, conditional on the information that they were all flipped and only finitely many of them landed heads. We argue that if you should have any conditional credence at all, it should be 1/2.
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Archival date: 2020-04-21
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