A Proposed Probabilistic Extension of the Halpern and Pearl Definition of ‘Actual Cause’

British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 68 (4):1061-1164 (2017)
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Abstract

In their article 'Causes and Explanations: A Structural-Model Approach. Part I: Causes', Joseph Halpern and Judea Pearl draw upon structural equation models to develop an attractive analysis of 'actual cause'. Their analysis is designed for the case of deterministic causation. I show that their account can be naturally extended to provide an elegant treatment of probabilistic causation.

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Luke Fenton-Glynn
University College London

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