Making Fit Fit

Philosophy of Science 84 (5):931-943 (2017)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

Reductionist accounts of objective chance rely on a notion of fit, which ties the chances at a world to the frequencies at that world. Here, I criticize extant measures of the fit of a chance system and draw on recent literature in epistemic utility theory to propose a new model: chances fit a world insofar as they are accurate at that world. I show how this model of fit does a better job of explaining the normative features of chance, its role in the laws of nature, and its status as an expert function than do previous accounts.

Author's Profile

Michael Townsen Hicks
University of Birmingham

Analytics

Added to PP
2017-12-15

Downloads
124 (#79,221)

6 months
38 (#83,280)

Historical graph of downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks on external links on PhilPapers.
How can I increase my downloads?