How to predict future duration from present age

Philosophical Quarterly 56 (222):16-38 (2006)
Download Edit this record How to cite View on PhilPapers
The physicist J. Richard Gott has given an argument which, if good, allows one to make accurate predictions for the future longevity of a process, based solely on its present age. We show that there are problems with some of the details of Gott's argument, but we defend the core thesis: in many circumstances, the greater the present age of a process, the more likely a longer future duration
Reprint years
PhilPapers/Archive ID
Revision history
Archival date: 2018-05-08
View upload history
References found in this work BETA
Minimizing Inaccuracy for Self-Locating Beliefs.Kierland, Brian & Monton, Bradley

View all 12 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

Add more citations

Added to PP index

Total views
68 ( #30,733 of 42,409 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
11 ( #36,262 of 42,409 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks to external links.