Wright, Okasha and Chandler on transmission failure

Synthese 184 (3):217-234 (2012)
Download Edit this record How to cite View on PhilPapers
Abstract
Crispin Wright has given an explanation of how a first time warrant can fall short of transmitting across a known entailment. Formal epistemologists have struggled to turn Wright’s informal explanation into cogent Bayesian reasoning. In this paper, I analyse two Bayesian models of Wright’s account respectively proposed by Samir Okasha and Jake Chandler. I argue that both formalizations are unsatisfactory for different reasons, and I lay down a third Bayesian model that appears to me to capture the valid kernel of Wright’s explanation. After this, I consider a recent development in Wright’s account of transmission failure. Wright suggests that his condition sufficient for transmission failure of first time warrant also suffices for transmission failure of supplementary warrant. I propose an interpretation of Wright’s suggestion that shield it from objections. I then lay down a fourth Bayesian framework that provides a simplified model of the unified explanation of transmission failure envisaged by Wright.
PhilPapers/Archive ID
MORWOA
Upload history
Archival date: 2015-11-21
View other versions
Added to PP index
2009-09-13

Total views
762 ( #5,702 of 57,039 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
44 ( #17,356 of 57,039 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks on external links on PhilPapers.