The Psychological Dimension of the Lottery Paradox

In Igor Douven (ed.), The Lottery Paradox. Cambridge University Press (forthcoming)
Download Edit this record How to cite View on PhilPapers
Abstract
The lottery paradox involves a set of judgments that are individually easy, when we think intuitively, but ultimately hard to reconcile with each other, when we think reflectively. Empirical work on the natural representation of probability shows that a range of interestingly different intuitive and reflective processes are deployed when we think about possible outcomes in different contexts. Understanding the shifts in our natural ways of thinking can reduce the sense that the lottery paradox reveals something problematic about our concept of knowledge. However, examining these shifts also raises interesting questions about how we ought to be thinking about possible outcomes in the first place.
PhilPapers/Archive ID
NAGTPD
Revision history
Archival date: 2019-02-03
View upload history
References found in this work BETA
The Enigma of Reason.Sperber, Dan & Mercier, Hugo
Higher Order Evidence.Christensen, David

View all 28 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

No citations found.

Add more citations

Added to PP index
2019-02-03

Total views
123 ( #25,204 of 44,235 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
52 ( #13,945 of 44,235 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks to external links.