Speed-Optimal Induction and Dynamic Coherence

British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 73 (2):439-455 (2022)
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A standard way to challenge convergence-based accounts of inductive success is to claim that they are too weak to constrain inductive inferences in the short run. We respond to such a challenge by answering some questions raised by Juhl (1994). When it comes to predicting limiting relative frequencies in the framework of Reichenbach, we show that speed-optimal convergence—a long-run success condition—induces dynamic coherence in the short run.

Author Profiles

Michael Nielsen
University of Sydney
Michael Nielsen
University of Sydney


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