What is conditionalization, and why should we do it?

Philosophical Studies 177 (11):3427-3463 (2020)
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Conditionalization is one of the central norms of Bayesian epistemology. But there are a number of competing formulations, and a number of arguments that purport to establish it. In this paper, I explore which formulations of the norm are supported by which arguments. In their standard formulations, each of the arguments I consider here depends on the same assumption, which I call Deterministic Updating. I will investigate whether it is possible to amend these arguments so that they no longer depend on it. As I show, whether this is possible depends on the formulation of the norm under consideration.
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First archival date: 2019-05-16
Latest version: 3 (2019-11-05)
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