Abstract
In this work, we derive the standard formalism of quantum theory by analyzing the behavior of single-variable systems under measurements. These systems, with minimal information capacity, exhibit indeterministic behavior in independent measurements while yielding probabilistically predictable outcomes in dependent measurements. Enforcing probability conservation in the probability transformations leads to the derivation of the Born rule, which subsequently gives rise to the Hilbert space structure and the Schrödinger equation. Additionally, we show that preparing physical systems in coherent states —crucial for observing quantum phenomena— effectively reduces the number of independent variables to one. This first-principles derivation of quantum theory from probability conservation in single-variable systems offers new insights into the physical meaning of quantum theory and clarifies its domain of applicability.