How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?

Physica Scripta 11 (92) (2017)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

What kinds of fundamental limits are there in how capable artificial intelligence (AI) systems might become? Two questions in particular are of interest: (1) How much more capable could AI become relative to humans, and (2) how easily could superhuman capability be acquired? To answer these questions, we will consider the literature on human expertise and intelligence, discuss its relevance for AI, and consider how AI could improve on humans in two major aspects of thought and expertise, namely simulation and pattern recognition. We find that although there are very real limits to prediction, it seems like AI could still substantially improve on human intelligence.

Author's Profile

Kaj Sotala
Foundational Research Institute

Analytics

Added to PP
2019-11-10

Downloads
538 (#15,992)

6 months
67 (#16,775)

Historical graph of downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks on external links on PhilPapers.
How can I increase my downloads?