How feasible is the rapid development of artificial superintelligence?

Physica Scripta 11 (92) (2017)
Download Edit this record How to cite View on PhilPapers
Abstract
What kinds of fundamental limits are there in how capable artificial intelligence (AI) systems might become? Two questions in particular are of interest: (1) How much more capable could AI become relative to humans, and (2) how easily could superhuman capability be acquired? To answer these questions, we will consider the literature on human expertise and intelligence, discuss its relevance for AI, and consider how AI could improve on humans in two major aspects of thought and expertise, namely simulation and pattern recognition. We find that although there are very real limits to prediction, it seems like AI could still substantially improve on human intelligence.
Categories
PhilPapers/Archive ID
SOTHFI
Upload history
Archival date: 2019-11-10
View other versions
Added to PP index
2019-11-10

Total views
129 ( #29,590 of 51,537 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
78 ( #6,346 of 51,537 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks on external links on PhilPapers.