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Higher order probabilities

Philosophical Studies 40 (1):31 - 46 (1981)

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  1. Higher order degrees of belief.Brian Skyrms - 1980 - In David Hugh Mellor (ed.), Prospects for Pragmatism: Essays in Memory of F P Ramsey. New York: Cambridge University Press. pp. 109--137.
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  • Higher order probabilities and coherence.Soshichi Uchii - 1973 - Philosophy of Science 40 (3):373-381.
    It is well known that a degree-of-belief function P is coherent if and only if it satisfies the probability calculus. In this paper, we show that the notion of coherence can be extended to higher order probabilities such as P(P(h)=p)=q, and that a higher order degree-of-belief function P is coherent if and only if it satisfies the probability calculus plus the following axiom: P(h)=p iff P(P(h)=p)=1. Also, a number of lemmata which extend an incomplete probability function to a complete one (...)
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  • Personal probabilities of probabilities.Jacob Marschak, Morris H. Degroot, J. Marschak, Karl Borch, Herman Chernoff, Morris De Groot, Robert Dorfman, Ward Edwards, T. S. Ferguson, Koichi Miyasawa, Paul Randolph, Leonard J. Savage, Robert Schlaifer & Robert L. Winkler - 1975 - Theory and Decision 6 (2):121-153.
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  • Qualitative probability as an intensional logic.Peter Gärdenfors - 1975 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 4 (2):171 - 185.
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  • Probability kinematics.Zoltan Domotor, Mario Zanotti & Henson Graves - 1980 - Synthese 44 (3):421 - 442.
    Probability kinematics is studied in detail within the framework of elementary probability theory. The merits and demerits of Jeffrey's and Field's models are discussed. In particular, the principle of maximum relative entropy and other principles are used in an epistemic justification of generalized conditionals. A representation of conditionals in terms of Bayesian conditionals is worked out in the framework of external kinematics.
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  • Probability kinematics and representation of belief change.Zoltan Domotor - 1980 - Philosophy of Science 47 (3):384-403.
    Bayesian, Jeffrey and Field conditionals are compared and it is shown why the last two cannot be reduced to the first. Maximum relative entropy is used in two kinds of justification of the Field conditional and the dispensability of entropy principles in general is discussed.
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  • Probabilities of probabilities.Karl Borch - 1975 - Theory and Decision 6 (2):155-159.
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  • Probability: beware of falsifications!B. De Finetti - 1976 - Scientia 70 (11):283.
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