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The false promises of risk analysis

Ratio 6 (1):16-26 (1993)

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  1. The Indeterminacy of Options.Joseph Mendola - 1987 - American Philosophical Quarterly 24 (2):125 - 136.
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  • Probabilistic mental models: A Brunswikian theory of confidence.Gerd Gigerenzer, Ulrich Hoffrage & Heinz Kleinbölting - 1991 - Psychological Review 98 (4):506-528.
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  • Non-backtracking Counterfactuals and the Conditional Analysis.Mark Heller - 1985 - Canadian Journal of Philosophy 15 (1):75-85.
    The conditional analysis of ability statements has many versions. In this paper I will deal with the version which claims that ‘x can do y’ is equivalent to ‘if x were to choose to do y, then x would do y.’ However, my comments should be equally applicable to any analysis of ability statements that can properly be called a version of the conditional analysis. The intuition behind the conditional analysis is that what it is for one to be able (...)
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