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On the conjunction fallacy and the meaning of and, yet again: A reply to.Katya Tentori & Vincenzo Crupi - 2012 - Cognition 122 (2):123-134.details
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Are Jurors Intuitive Statisticians? Bayesian Causal Reasoning in Legal Contexts.Tamara Shengelia & David Lagnado - 2021 - Frontiers in Psychology 11.details
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(1 other version)Detecting deception: adversarial problem solving in a low base‐rate world.Paul E. Johnson, Stefano Grazioli, Karim Jamal & R. Glen Berryman - 2001 - Cognitive Science 25 (3):355-392.details
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The psychology of dynamic probability judgment: order effect, normative theories, and experimental methodology.Jean Baratgin & Guy Politzer - 2007 - Mind and Society 6 (1):53-66.details
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Probabilistic representation in syllogistic reasoning: A theory to integrate mental models and heuristics.Masasi Hattori - 2016 - Cognition 157 (C):296-320.details
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(1 other version)Detecting deception: adversarial problem solving in a low base‐rate world.Paul E. Johnson, Stefano Grazioli, Karim Jamal & R. Glen Berryman - 2001 - Cognitive Science 25 (3):355-392.details
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(1 other version)A unified account of the conjunction fallacy by coherence.Martin L. Jönsson & Tomoji Shogenji - 2019 - Synthese 196 (1):1-17.details
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Thinking about the ultimate argument for realism.Stathis Psillos - 2006 - In Colin Cheyne & John Worrall (eds.), Rationality and Reality: Conversations with Alan Musgrave. Springer. pp. 133--156.details
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Conviction Narrative Theory: A theory of choice under radical uncertainty.Samuel G. B. Johnson, Avri Bilovich & David Tuckett - 2023 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 46:e82.details
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Perspectives on the 2 × 2 Matrix: Solving Semantically Distinct Problems Based on a Shared Structure of Binary Contingencies. [REVIEW]Hansjörg Neth, Nico Gradwohl, Dirk Streeb, Daniel A. Keim & Wolfgang Gaissmaier - 2021 - Frontiers in Psychology 11.details
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The relationship between anomalistic belief, misperception of chance and the base rate fallacy.Toby Prike, Michelle M. Arnold & Paul Williamson - 2019 - Thinking and Reasoning 26 (3):447-477.details
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Imprecise Uncertain Reasoning: A Distributional Approach.Gernot D. Kleiter - 2018 - Frontiers in Psychology 9.details
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I know the rule, but I'll just go with my gut: is there a rational use of intuition?Filipe Loureiro & Teresa Garcia-Marques - 2018 - Thinking and Reasoning 24 (4):469-497.details
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The limits of probability modelling: A serendipitous tale of goldfish, transfinite numbers, and pieces of string. [REVIEW]Ranald R. Macdonald - 2000 - Mind and Society 1 (2):17-38.details
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The paradoxical effects of time pressure on base rate neglect.Henry Markovits & Gaetan Béghin - 2023 - Cognition 237 (C):105451.details
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Waiting for the bus: When base-rates refuse to be neglected.Karl Halvor Teigen & Gideon Keren - 2007 - Cognition 103 (3):337-357.details
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A generalized signal detection model to predict rational variation in base rate use.Peter R. Mueser, Nelson Cowan & Kim T. Mueser - 1999 - Cognition 69 (3):267-312.details
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Nested sets theory, full stop: Explaining performance on bayesian inference tasks without dual-systems assumptions.David R. Mandel - 2007 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 30 (3):275-276.details
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Compound risk judgment in tasks with both idiosyncratic and systematic risk: The “Robust Beauty” of additive probability integration.Joakim Sundh & Peter Juslin - 2018 - Cognition 171 (C):25-41.details
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Adaptive Anchoring Model: How Static and Dynamic Presentations of Time Series Influence Judgments and Predictions.Petko Kusev, Paul van Schaik, Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova, Asgeir Juliusson & Nick Chater - 2018 - Cognitive Science 42 (1):77-102.details
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Instruction in information structuring improves Bayesian judgment in intelligence analysts.David R. Mandel - 2015 - Frontiers in Psychology 6:137593.details
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(1 other version)Innateness and (Bayesian) visual perception: Reconciling nativism and development.Brian J. Scholl - 2005 - In Peter Carruthers, Stephen Laurence & Stephen P. Stich (eds.), The Innate Mind: Structure and Contents. New York, US: Oxford University Press USA. pp. 34.details
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Resiliency, robustness and rationality of probability judgements.James Logue - 1997 - International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 11 (1):21 – 34.details
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It depends: Partisan evaluation of conditional probability importance.Leaf Van Boven, Jairo Ramos, Ronit Montal-Rosenberg, Tehila Kogut, David K. Sherman & Paul Slovic - 2019 - Cognition 188 (C):51-63.details
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On the generality and cognitive basis of base-rate neglect.Elina Stengård, Peter Juslin, Ulrike Hahn & Ronald van den Berg - 2022 - Cognition 226 (C):105160.details
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On the provenance of judgments of conditional probability.Jiaying Zhao, Anuj Shah & Daniel Osherson - 2009 - Cognition 113 (1):26-36.details
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A description–experience gap in statistical intuitions: Of smart babies, risk-savvy chimps, intuitive statisticians, and stupid grown-ups.Christin Schulze & Ralph Hertwig - 2021 - Cognition 210 (C):104580.details
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