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  1. The old principal principle reconciled with the new.Peter B. M. Vranas - unknown
    [1] You have a crystal ball. Unfortunately, it’s defective. Rather than predicting the future, it gives you the chances of future events. Is it then of any use? It certainly seems so. You may not know for sure whether the stock market will crash next week; but if you know for sure that it has an 80% chance of crashing, then you should be 80% confident that it will—and you should plan accordingly. More generally, given that the chance of a (...)
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  • Have your cake and eat it too: The old principal principle reconciled with the new.Peter B. M. Vranas - 2004 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 69 (2):368–382.
    David Lewis (1980) proposed the Principal Principle (PP) and a “reformulation” which later on he called ‘OP’ (Old Principle). Reacting to his belief that these principles run into trouble, Lewis (1994) concluded that they should be replaced with the New Principle (NP). This conclusion left Lewis uneasy, because he thought that an inverse form of NP is “quite messy”, whereas an inverse form of OP, namely the simple and intuitive PP, is “the key to our concept of chance”. I argue (...)
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  • A suggested resolution of Miller's paradox.I. J. Good - 1970 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 21 (3):288-289.
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  • The accuracy of predictions.David Miller - 1975 - Synthese 30 (1-2):159 - 191.
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  • Cauchy's variables and orders of the infinitely small.Gordon Fisher - 1979 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 30 (3):261-265.
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  • What's in a numeral?David Miller - 1979 - Philosophical Studies 35 (4):323 - 344.
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  • Making sense of method: Comments on Richard Jeffrey.David Miller - 1975 - Synthese 30 (1-2):139 - 147.
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