How Explanation Guides Confirmation

Philosophy of Science 84 (2):359-68 (2017)
Download Edit this record How to cite View on PhilPapers
Where E is the proposition that [If H and O were true, H would explain O], William Roche and Elliot Sober have argued that P(H|O&E) = P(H|O). In this paper I argue that not only is this equality not generally true, it is false in the very kinds of cases that Roche and Sober focus on, involving frequency data. In fact, in such cases O raises the probability of H only given that there is an explanatory connection between them.
Reprint years
2016, 2017
PhilPapers/Archive ID
Upload history
First archival date: 2016-08-03
Latest version: 2 (2018-10-04)
View other versions
Added to PP index

Total views
560 ( #12,659 of 69,140 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
50 ( #16,183 of 69,140 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks on external links on PhilPapers.