How Explanation Guides Confirmation

Philosophy of Science 84 (2):359-68 (2017)
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Abstract
Where E is the proposition that [If H and O were true, H would explain O], William Roche and Elliot Sober have argued that P(H|O&E) = P(H|O). In this paper I argue that not only is this equality not generally true, it is false in the very kinds of cases that Roche and Sober focus on, involving frequency data. In fact, in such cases O raises the probability of H only given that there is an explanatory connection between them.
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2016, 2017
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First archival date: 2016-08-03
Latest version: 2 (2018-10-04)
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References found in this work BETA
Laws and Symmetry.van Fraassen, Bas C.
Symmetries and Asymmetries in Evidential Support.Eells, Ellery & Fitelson, Branden

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Citations of this work BETA
Abduction.Douven, Igor

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2016-08-03

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