The Premises of Condorcet’s Jury Theorem Are Not Simultaneously Justified

Episteme 5 (1):56-73 (2008)
  Copy   BIBTEX


Condorcet's famous jury theorem reaches an optimistic conclusion on the correctness of majority decisions, based on two controversial premises about voters: they are competent and vote independently, in a technical sense. I carefully analyse these premises and show that: whether a premise is justi…ed depends on the notion of probability considered; none of the notions renders both premises simultaneously justi…ed. Under the perhaps most interesting notions, the independence assumption should be weakened.

Author's Profile

Franz Dietrich
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique


Added to PP

341 (#26,678)

6 months
76 (#14,194)

Historical graph of downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks on external links on PhilPapers.
How can I increase my downloads?