The Tiger and the Dragon

In Leonid Grinin, Ilya V. Ilyin & Andrey V. Korotayev (eds.), Globalistics and Globalization Studies. Volgograd: Uchitel Publishing House. pp. 184-208 (2014)
Download Edit this record How to cite View on PhilPapers
Abstract
In the coming decades in the process of globalization the position of the USA and Europe will weaken, while the role of developing countries will increase. The role of the two largest emerging economies – China and India – will be of special significance. What future will these fast-growing giants face? The demographers agree that pretty soon India will lead the world in population and thus surpass China, while China will encounter serious population ageing. But economic and political scenarios of the future are quite different: from resounding success and world leadership to collapse caused by demographic and socio-political troubles. Which of them is more feasible? In the present article I analyze the Chinese and Indian development models separately and comparatively and make prognosis of their perspectives in the twenty-first century. Such an analysis could be helpful for understanding Russia's ways of development.
Categories
PhilPapers/Archive ID
GRITTA-7
Revision history
Archival date: 2018-05-29
View upload history
References found in this work BETA
Asian Drama. An Inquiry Into the Poverty of Nations.Myrdal, Gunnar; Barber, William J.; Majava, Altti; Myrdal, Alva; Streeten, Paul P. & Wightman, David

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA
World Order Transformation and Sociopolitical Destabilization.Grinin, Leonid; Korotayev, Andrey; Issaev, Leonid; Shishkina, Alisa; Ivanov, Evgeny & Meshcherina, Kira

Add more citations

Added to PP index
2018-05-29

Total views
29 ( #42,743 of 45,572 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
11 ( #42,950 of 45,572 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks to external links.