Avoiding certain frustration, reflection, and the cable guy paradox
Philosophical Studies 138 (3):317 - 333 (2008)
Abstract
We discuss the cable guy paradox, both as an object of interest in its own right and as something which can be used to illuminate certain issues in the theories of rational choice and belief. We argue that a crucial principle—The Avoid Certain Frustration (ACF) principle—which is used in stating the paradox is false, thus resolving the paradox. We also explain how the paradox gives us new insight into issues related to the Reflection principle. Our general thesis is that principles that base your current opinions on your current opinions about your future opinions need not make reference to the particular times in the future at which you believe you will have those opinions, but they do need to make reference to the particular degrees of belief you believe you will have in the future.
Categories
PhilPapers/Archive ID
KIEACF
Revision history
Archival date: 2018-05-08
View upload history
View upload history

Belief and the Will.van Fraassen, Bas C.
Belief and the Will.Van Fraassen, Bas C.
Belief and the Problem of Ulysses and the Sirens.Van Fraassen, Bas C.
The Cable Guy Paradox.Hajek, A.

No citations found.
Added to PP index
2009-01-28
Total downloads
110 ( #20,034 of 37,125 )
Recent downloads (6 months)
14 ( #21,769 of 37,125 )
2009-01-28
Total downloads
110 ( #20,034 of 37,125 )
Recent downloads (6 months)
14 ( #21,769 of 37,125 )
How can I increase my downloads?
Monthly downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks to external links.