Avoiding certain frustration, reflection, and the cable guy paradox

Philosophical Studies 138 (3):317 - 333 (2008)
Download Edit this record How to cite View on PhilPapers
We discuss the cable guy paradox, both as an object of interest in its own right and as something which can be used to illuminate certain issues in the theories of rational choice and belief. We argue that a crucial principle—The Avoid Certain Frustration (ACF) principle—which is used in stating the paradox is false, thus resolving the paradox. We also explain how the paradox gives us new insight into issues related to the Reflection principle. Our general thesis is that principles that base your current opinions on your current opinions about your future opinions need not make reference to the particular times in the future at which you believe you will have those opinions, but they do need to make reference to the particular degrees of belief you believe you will have in the future.
PhilPapers/Archive ID
Revision history
Archival date: 2018-05-08
View upload history
References found in this work BETA
Belief and the Will.van Fraassen, Bas C.
Belief and the Will.van Fraassen, Bas C.
Stopping to Reflect.Schervish, M. J.; Seidenfeld, T. & Kadane, J. B.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

No citations found.

Add more citations

Added to PP index

Total views
169 ( #24,431 of 50,141 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
13 ( #36,658 of 50,141 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks to external links.