- People with jumping to conclusions bias tend to make context-independent decisions rather than context-dependent decisions.Gaye Özen-Akın & Sevtap Cinan - 2022 - Consciousness and Cognition 98 (C):103279.details
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The Influence of Initial Beliefs on Judgments of Probability.Erica C. Yu & David A. Lagnado - 2012 - Frontiers in Psychology 3.details
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Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments.Paul D. Windschitl & Gary L. Wells - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):40-41.details
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A Bayesian model of the jumping-to-conclusions bias and its relationship to psychopathology.Nicole Tan, Yiyun Shou, Junwen Chen & Bruce K. Christensen - forthcoming - Cognition and Emotion.details
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The perils of reconstructive remembering and the value of representative design.Kim J. Vicente - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):40-40.details
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Sensory and multisensory reasoning: Is Bayesian updating modality-dependent?Stefano Fait, Stefania Pighin, Andrea Passerini, Francesco Pavani & Katya Tentori - 2023 - Cognition 234 (C):105355.details
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Throwing out the baby with the bathwater? Let's not overstate the overselling of the base rate fallacy.Cynthia J. Thomsen & Eugene Borgida - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):39-40.details
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(1 other version)Delusions and brain injury: The philosophy and psychology of belief.Tony Stone & Andrew W. Young - 1997 - Mind and Language 12 (3-4):327-64.details
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(1 other version)Delusions and Brain Injury: The Philosophy and Psychology of Belief.Tony Stone & Andrew W. Young - 1997 - Mind and Language 12 (3-4):327-364.details
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Where do you stand on the base rate issue?Douglas Stalker - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):38-39.details
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The implicit use of base rates in experiential and ecologically valid tasks.Barbara A. Spellman - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):38-38.details
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On knowing self-deception.Maury Silver, John Sabini & Maria Miceli - 1989 - Journal for the Theory of Social Behaviour 19 (2):213–227.details
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The origins of inquiry: inductive inference and exploration in early childhood.Laura Schulz - 2012 - Trends in Cognitive Sciences 16 (7):382-389.details
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The Impact of Complexity on Methods and Findings in Psychological Science.David M. Sanbonmatsu, Emily H. Cooley & Jonathan E. Butner - 2021 - Frontiers in Psychology 11:580111.details
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When Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence: Rational Inferences From Absent Data.Anne S. Hsu, Andy Horng, Thomas L. Griffiths & Nick Chater - 2017 - Cognitive Science 41 (S5):1155-1167.details
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Improving decision accuracy where base rates matter: The prediction of violent recidivism.Vernon L. Quinsey - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):37-38.details
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Confirmation bias emerges from an approximation to Bayesian reasoning.Charlie Pilgrim, Adam Sanborn, Eugene Malthouse & Thomas T. Hills - 2024 - Cognition 245 (C):105693.details
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Hits and misses: Kirby on the selection task.D. E. Over & J. StB. T. Evans - 1994 - Cognition 52 (3):235-243.details
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Theories of reasoning and the computational explanation of everyday inference.Mike Oaksford & Nick Chater - 1995 - Thinking and Reasoning 1 (2):121 – 152.details
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A rational analysis of the selection task as optimal data selection.Mike Oaksford & Nick Chater - 1994 - Psychological Review 101 (4):608-631.details
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Deontic Reasoning, Modules and Innateness: A Second Look.Nick Chater & Mike Oaksford - 1996 - Mind and Language 11 (2):191-202.details
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Finding Useful Questions: On Bayesian Diagnosticity, Probability, Impact, and Information Gain.Jonathan D. Nelson - 2005 - Psychological Review 112 (4):979-999.details
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A generalized signal detection model to predict rational variation in base rate use.Peter R. Mueser, Nelson Cowan & Kim T. Mueser - 1999 - Cognition 69 (3):267-312.details
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Conservatism revisited: Base rates, prior probabilities, and averaging strategies.Nancy Paule Melone & Timothy W. McGuire - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):36-37.details
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How are base rates used? Interactive and group effects.Peter J. McLeod & Margo Watt - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):35-36.details
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Which reference class is evoked?Craig R. M. McKenzie & Jack B. Soll - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):34-35.details
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Delusional Inference.Ryan McKay - 2012 - Mind and Language 27 (3):330-355.details
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First things first: What is a base rate?Clark McCauley - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):33-34.details
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Nuancing should not imply neglecting.Howard Margolis - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):32-33.details
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Fallacy and controversy about base rates.Isaac Levi - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):31-32.details
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Probabilistic fallacies.Henry E. Kyburg - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):31-31.details
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Studying the use of base rates: Normal science or shifting paradigm?Joachim Krueger - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):30-30.details
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Base rates in the applied domain of accounting.Lisa Koonce - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):29-30.details
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The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges.Jonathan J. Koehler - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):1-17.details
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Issues for the next generation of base rate research.Jonathan J. Koehler - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):41-53.details
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Critical and natural sensitivity to base rates.Gernot D. Kleiter - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):27-29.details
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P(D/H), P(D/˜H), and base rate consideration.Yechiel Klar - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):26-27.details
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Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing.Joshua Klayman & Young-won Ha - 1987 - Psychological Review 94 (2):211-228.details
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The base rate controversy: Is the glass half-full or half-empty?Gideon Keren & Lambert J. Thijs - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):26-26.details
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Positive confirmation bias in the acquisition of information.Martin Jones & Robert Sugden - 2001 - Theory and Decision 50 (1):59-99.details
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Is the mind Bayesian? The case for agnosticism.Jean Baratgin & Guy Politzer - 2006 - Mind and Society 5 (1):1-38.details
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Physicians neglect base rates, and it matters.Robert M. Hamm - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):25-26.details
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Argument Content and Argument Source: An Exploration.Ulrike Hahn, Adam J. L. Harris & Adam Corner - 2009 - Informal Logic 29 (4):337-367.details
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Effects of amount of evidence and range of rule on the use of hypothesis and target tests by groups in rule-discovery tasks.Christine Hoffmann & Helmut Crott - 2004 - Thinking and Reasoning 10 (4):321 – 354.details
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Judgment under uncertainty: Evolution may not favor a probabilistic calculus.Lev R. Ginzburg, Charles Janson & Scott Ferson - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):24-25.details
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Why do frequency formats improve Bayesian reasoning? Cognitive algorithms work on information, which needs representation.Gerd Gigerenzer - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):23-24.details
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How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats.Gerd Gigerenzer & Ulrich Hoffrage - 1995 - Psychological Review 102 (4):684-704.details
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Lucky or clever? From expectations to responsibility judgments.Tobias Gerstenberg, Tomer D. Ullman, Jonas Nagel, Max Kleiman-Weiner, David A. Lagnado & Joshua B. Tenenbaum - 2018 - Cognition 177 (C):122-141.details
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Base rates, stereotypes, and judgmental accuracy.David C. Funder - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):22-23.details
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How to reconsider the base rate fallacy without forgetting the concept of systematic processing.Pablo Fernandez-Berrocal, Julian Almaraz & Susana Segura - 1996 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 19 (1):21-22.details
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