Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision

Philosophy of Science 84 (3):500–522 (2017)
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The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC’s novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.

Author Profiles

Richard Bradley
London School of Economics
Casey Helgeson
Pennsylvania State University


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