A Dilemma for Solomonoff Prediction

Philosophy of Science 90 (2):288-306 (2023)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

The framework of Solomonoff prediction assigns prior probability to hypotheses inversely proportional to their Kolmogorov complexity. There are two well-known problems. First, the Solomonoff prior is relative to a choice of Universal Turing machine. Second, the Solomonoff prior is not computable. However, there are responses to both problems. Different Solomonoff priors converge with more and more data. Further, there are computable approximations to the Solomonoff prior. I argue that there is a tension between these two responses. This is because computable approximations to Solomonoff prediction do not always converge.

Author's Profile

Sven Neth
University of Pittsburgh

Analytics

Added to PP
2022-06-13

Downloads
448 (#37,920)

6 months
145 (#23,731)

Historical graph of downloads since first upload
This graph includes both downloads from PhilArchive and clicks on external links on PhilPapers.
How can I increase my downloads?