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  1. Working memory and the developmental analysis of probability judgment.Charles J. Brainerd - 1981 - Psychological Review 88 (6):463-502.
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  • Naive probability: A mental model theory of extensional reasoning.Philip Johnson-Laird, Paolo Legrenzi, Vittorio Girotto, Maria Sonino Legrenzi & Jean-Paul Caverni - 1999 - Psychological Review 106 (1):62-88.
    This article outlines a theory of naive probability. According to the theory, individuals who are unfamiliar with the probability calculus can infer the probabilities of events in an extensional way: They construct mental models of what is true in the various possibilities. Each model represents an equiprobable alternative unless individuals have beliefs to the contrary, in which case some models will have higher probabilities than others. The probability of an event depends on the proportion of models in which it occurs. (...)
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  • False-belief understanding in infants.Renée Baillargeon, Rose M. Scott & Zijing He - 2010 - Trends in Cognitive Sciences 14 (3):110-118.
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  • The origins of probabilistic inference in human infants.Stephanie Denison & Fei Xu - 2014 - Cognition 130 (3):335-347.
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  • False-belief understanding in infants.Zijing He Renée Baillargeon, Rose M. Scott - 2010 - Trends in Cognitive Sciences 14 (3):110.
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  • Apes are intuitive statisticians.Hannes Rakoczy, Annette Clüver, Liane Saucke, Nicole Stoffregen, Alice Gräbener, Judith Migura & Josep Call - 2014 - Cognition 131 (1):60-68.
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  • Combinatorics and probability: Six- to ten-year-olds reliably predict whether a relation will occur.Michel Gonzalez & Vittorio Girotto - 2011 - Cognition 120 (3):372-379.
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  • Statistical inference and sensitivity to sampling in 11-month-old infants.Fei Xu & Stephanie Denison - 2009 - Cognition 112 (1):97-104.
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  • Children’s understanding of posterior probability.Vittorio Girotto & Michel Gonzalez - 2008 - Cognition 106 (1):325-344.
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